Civilian Death Statistics in Iraq & Afghanistan Compared

Written by government_employee on June 22nd, 2007 | Trackback URI |

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Interesting Statistical Comparisons

Every 9.62 days, there is an equivalent amount of casualties in Iraq & Afghanistan as September 11th.

There are 9.65 Virginia Tech shootings in Iraq & Afghanistan everyday.

There are 1.61 Madrid bombings in Iraq & Afghanistan everyday.

In 11 days as many Iraqi & Afghani civilians are killed as the entire amount of American military personnel killed since the invasion of Afghanistan in 2002 and the invasion of Iraq in 2003.

Note: There is some discrepancy between various sources on the amount of civilian casualties since the US-led invasion in March 2003. A study in October of 2006 listed over 650,000 killed (see Washington Post article below) while other sources vary from 400,000 to just over 60,000 (see British-government funded Iraq Body Count below). I computed 250,000 by averaging several sources, though I personally feel this is a low number.

Update: The differing methodologies among these studies led to these wide variations. For example, the lowest figure from IBC is based solely on media reports of violent deaths, while the Lancet study surveyed random families in Iraq and includes non-violent war related deaths, such as those dead to lawlessness and collapsed infrastructure. I computed 250,000 to use as a useful estimate by averaging these sources, though I personally feel this is a low number when talking about the impact of the US invasion on Iraq.

Sources

Forgotten victims by Jonathan Steele, the Guardian. http://www.guardian.co.uk/afghanistan/comment/story/0,11447,718647,00.html

Civilian Casualties in Afghanistan, Wikipedia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilian_casualties_of_the_U.S._invasion_of_Afghanistan

Iraq Body Count, http://www.iraqbodycount.org/.

Iraq death toll ’soared post-war’, BBC News. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/3962969.stm

Casualties in Iraq: The Human Cost of Occupation, Antiwar. http://www.antiwar.com/casualties/

Study Claims Iraq’s ‘Excess’ Death Toll Has Reached 655,000 by David Brown, Washington Post. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/10/AR2006101001442.html

July 7 London Bombings, Wikipedia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/7_July_2005_London_bombings

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36 Responses to “Civilian Death Statistics in Iraq & Afghanistan Compared”

  1. Kit says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 11:02 am

    I think it’s also funny to look at the number of victims of terrorism each year in America compared to the number of bathtub related deaths in America.

  2. Dustin says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 12:19 pm

    No, because then the terrorists win!

  3. Carl Hungus says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 12:58 pm

    Log Jammin’ 2 coming out in 08

  4. Ed says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 1:07 pm

    Amazing. To prove your point further, could you add the number of Iraqi’s allegedly killed by Saddam before the invasion? I imagine it will look insignificant to the number killed afterwards.

  5. pete says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 1:13 pm

    You forgot to mention who is killing these people. The implication is that the US is killing them. In fact it is extreme Muslims killing civilians and other extremist. Guess who they are going to kill next if given a chance?

  6. Ablogistan says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 1:28 pm

    Civilian Death Statistics in Iraq & Afghanistan Compared

    Interesting Statistical Comparisons Every 9.62 days, there is an equivalent amount of casualties in Iraq & Afghanistan as September 11th. There are 9.65 Virginia Tech shootings in Iraq & Afghanistan everyday. There are 1.61 Madrid bombings in Iraq &…

  7. MyScribbles: Write-ups of an Afghan says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 2:10 pm

    Compare the number of deaths from terrorism to that of obesity, smoking and alcoholism in the United States; add to this comparison the money spent on “defense” and healthcare. You’ll get a clear picture of everything.

  8. nelly says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 3:05 pm

    pete brings up a good point; ARE these deaths caused by extremist muslims??

    somebody should hack into the govt and find out what exactly is going on

  9. AlvinBlah says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 3:56 pm

    I don’t know who is doing the killing of Iraqi civilians, but does it matter? The United States has helped create the climate that allows for this kind of killing to happen.

    I do know that the U.S. military is downplaying their numbers. For a casualty to count they must die on Iraqi soil. So if a soldier is critically injured and shipped to Germany for treatment (as is what often happens) and dies in Germany, or even just on the military medical plane. It does not count as a war casualty in the announced numbers.

    The military knows what these death tolls do to public opinion, and is working hard at keeping it vague. Jesus, it takes an online blog that writes about diet pills that make you poo oil to throw these numbers together.

    That my friends, no matter what side of the isle you are on is a sad state of affairs.

  10. petru says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 4:42 pm

    @pete

    “You forgot to mention who is killing these people. The implication is that the US is killing them. In fact it is extreme Muslims killing civilians and other extremist. Guess who they are going to kill next if given a chance?”

    Well, it could have been Saddam killing them, or they could have killed each other, but it’s the US’s responsibility for the current chaos in Iraq.

  11. teth says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 4:56 pm

    Just wondering what are considered British terrorist casualties?
    Are these figures including American finance killing of of British citizans by the I.R.A.

    I think your figures a little wrong.

    Between 1969 and 2001, 3,523 people were killed as a result of the Troubles.

    Approximately 60% of the victims were killed by republicans, 30% by loyalists and 10% by the British, Irish and Northern Irish security forces.

  12. sae says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 9:11 pm

    There are 35000 babies killed each year in America by abortion. Your point is??

  13. uhh says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 9:14 pm

    I would never use wikipedia as a credible source.

  14. Just Looking says:
    June 22nd, 2007 at 9:34 pm

    Let me know when the count gets to “all of them”.

  15. Justin says:
    June 23rd, 2007 at 12:23 am

    I’m gonna echo Petru: Pete, I think we have to look at whose responsible for disabling the Saddam regime therefore creating the instability and attendant lack of security the invasion has bred, not to mention the motives behind the extremist attacks. As much as I would like to blame this on the naivete of American officials, I think its even more naive to assume that with our massive intelligence network and army of intelligence analysts we would have not foreseen the situation we are now finding ourselves in. We have enough experience replacing regimes to know how the delicate, albeit unjust, power structure in Saddam’s Iraq would react to our “pre-emptive strike”. The current situation serves our interest in several ways.

  16. Grumf says:
    June 23rd, 2007 at 5:08 am

    Oh, so there are 35000 “babies” killed each year in America.
    I guess that makes it OK for Americans to kill (directly or indirectly by throwing a country into chaos) 7-8 times as many people in another country.
    So if a person kill 10 babies here, how many Americans can he or she come to kill in the US ?
    Are the 35000 “babies” killed by the American government and/or the military ?
    If each killing in Iraq had to be controlled and applied for like an abortion has to be in the US - how many Iraqis would have been killed do you think ?

    You’re goddamn stupid to hold those numbers up against each other - it just makes no sense.
    Stick to the topic.

  17. StiflyStiferson says:
    June 24th, 2007 at 9:16 am

    It’s frightening to consider how indifferent, or at least unmoved, America in general has been to Iraqi civilian deaths. To me, it speaks of underlying racism and nationalistic blinders that pervades the minivan drivers of this country.

  18. alec says:
    June 25th, 2007 at 11:23 am

    Pete: Agreed. The overall point was to show how many civilians are killed in Iraq compared to those who died in September 11th or other terrorist attacks. While we view 9/11 and other attacks in Western countries as large threats, people in Iraq & Afghanistan face the prospect of the same amount of civilian casualties roughly every 10 days.

    Teth: That’s correct — I’m only considering terrorist attacks in the recent years. The IRA obviously did a lot of terrorist attacks in England (and I’d say form a pretty interesting blue print for current terrorist movements). However, I’m trying to keep the correlation of how Westerners view themselves as victims of Middle Eastern terrorism versus how things are actually going in countries in the Middle East where Westerners are involved.

    And yes, Wikipedia was used but mostly for its sources, not for the entry or data provided. I understand the confusion, but did not want to list out 10 to 20 sources for my data and methodology when it may be confusing and take away from my point.

    Everyone else, thanks for the comments.

  19. Atlantic Review says:
    June 25th, 2007 at 4:10 pm

    Putting the Death Toll in Perspective

    Prose Before Hos looks at civilian death statistics: Every 9.62 days, there is an equivalent amount of casualties in Iraq & Afghanistan as September 11th. (…) In 11 days as many Iraqi & Afghani civilians are killed as the entire amount of Ameri

  20. The Sietch Blog » Fun With Graphs says:
    June 25th, 2007 at 9:09 pm

    […] Deaths from various causes(via) […]

  21. Nick says:
    June 26th, 2007 at 2:15 am

    Was “(see British-government funded Iraq Body Count below)” a throw-away line, or can you point to documentation showing that IBC is funded by the British government? It seems hard to find information on this other than it is run by volunteers, is not a charity, and accepts donations.

  22. Richard Estes says:
    June 27th, 2007 at 5:49 pm

    Guess who is arming the “extremists” in Iraq, with the exception of the marginal al-Qaeda elements who form a small part of the resistance to the occupation?

    Hint: It is a large country in the center of North America between Mexico and Canada.

    The US is still closely involved in the Iraqi Interior Ministry, known for Shia death squad activity, arms Sunnis (as just reported last week) and uses Kurdish pershmergas to attack Sunni resistance forces in cities like Fallujah.

    So, yes, the US can be held responsible for the vast majority of deaths in Iraq since the invasion. But, then, that’s how empires justify perpetual occupations of other countries, by inciting existing ethnic and religious conflicts, arming the participants and then claiming that they must stay to stop them from killing each other, which they do in ever increasing numbers under the watchful eye of the occupation.

  23. JoJo says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 11:06 am

    I suggest to allposter Morons that DON’T Get It Yet, 911 was not done by anyone Arab.
    All the victums in 911 died by the planning of our Government—No tall Bldgs. fall on their footprints faster than gravity–unless Explosives Used. Check out Marvin Bush 911 WTC
    Try zero Terrorist killings on USA soil.

  24. RickB says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 11:20 am

    The Lancet survey actually was a conservative figure
    –Thus, 650,000 deaths is only an estimate; the range of possible deaths is actually 392,979 to 942,636. What this means is that we can be 95 percent certain that the number of excess deaths is in this range, but our best estimate is 654,965. You can think of this as a bell curve, centered 654,965 where the curve is highest. The other values in the range are less likely than to be the “true value” though not as much less likely as a number outside the range.–

    while your aims are laudable you have denied a peer reviewed study that used accepted methodology that privately was accepted by the UK govt. even when publically politicians rubbished it. Also the 650,000 is an old figure, Dr Gideon Polya extrapolated the deaths and now the estimate is 1 million
    http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/tm_headline=deaths-in-iraq-have-reached-1-million&method=full&objectid=18775387&siteid=66633-name_page.html
    and
    http://www.countercurrents.org/iraq-polya220307.htm
    Regardless of accepting his new figure I suggest that you accept the work of several noted scientists published in the Lancet, a prestigious British journal for medicine, with professors from Johns Hopkins University and the School of Medicine at Al Mustansirlya Univesity in Baghdad.
    Lancet study pdf
    http://www.thelancet.com/webfiles/images/journals/lancet/s0140673606694919.pdf

  25. RickB says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 11:26 am

    The Lancet survey actually was a conservative figure
    –Thus, 650,000 deaths is only an estimate; the range of possible deaths is actually 392,979 to 942,636. What this means is that we can be 95 percent certain that the number of excess deaths is in this range, but our best estimate is 654,965. You can think of this as a bell curve, centered 654,965 where the curve is highest. The other values in the range are less likely than to be the “true value” though not as much less likely as a number outside the range.–

    while your aims are laudable you have denied a peer reviewed study that used accepted methodology that privately was accepted by the UK govt. even when publically politicians rubbished it. Also the 650,000 is an old figure, Dr Gideon Polya extrapolated the deaths and now the estimate is 1 million

    Regardless of accepting his new figure I suggest that you accept the work of several noted scientists published in the Lancet, the preeminent prestigious British journal for medicine, with professors from Johns Hopkins University and the School of Medicine at Al Mustansirlya Univesity in Baghdad.

  26. John says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 12:53 pm

    The point that Pete is making, and the point that Petru is missing, is that this type of activity is not new. Those that think it is only started watching and reading the news after the United States went to war, because at that point it became fashionable to attack the US government. dissolving Saddam’s regime did very little to increase the amount of Iraqi civilian deaths, and absolutely nothing to affect these numbers in Afghanistan. I think if this graph showed the number of civilian deaths before the US did anything in the middle east, the numbers would be near the same. Good luck finding the figures though, I imagine they’re buried beneath vast layers of fake numbers to “verify” such “shocking” numbers and revelations as this.

  27. RickB says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 1:36 pm

    John-
    the Lancet survey was specifically about excess deaths caused by the invasion of Iraq. You seek to excuse hundreds of thousands of deaths as a whim of fashion? “before the US did anything in the middle east” when was that? Shall we take the 1953 overthrow of Mosaddeq in Iran as a starting point for large scale interfrence, or do you want to go back further?
    Perhaps you should start with Marine Corps Major General Smedley Butler who could educate you about the United States activities around the world, although he died in 1940 and was never deployed in the middle east he managed to win the medal of honour twice and observed:
    “I spent 33 years and four months in active military service and during that period I spent most of my time as a high class muscle man for Big Business, for Wall Street and the bankers. In short, I was a racketeer, a gangster for capitalism. I helped make Mexico and especially Tampico safe for American oil interests in 1914. I helped make Haiti and Cuba a decent place for the National City Bank boys to collect revenues in. I helped in the raping of half a dozen Central American republics for the benefit of Wall Street. I helped purify Nicaragua for the International Banking House of Brown Brothers in 1902-1912. I brought light to the Dominican Republic for the American sugar interests in 1916. I helped make Honduras right for the American fruit companies in 1903. In China in 1927 I helped see to it that Standard Oil went on its way unmolested.”

  28. taka says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 5:37 pm

    Alec: I concur with Teth, although your use of more recent acts of terrorism does eliminate most IRA related deaths. Still, on 9-11, there were 67 British nationals murdered. (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3646682.stm), so again, your statistics should be corrected. I would also take umbridge with not counting the IRA related deaths; The British have been dealing with terrorism (largely US funded) for years, thus their reaction to 9-11 should take this into account.

    Having said all that, it still would not come anywhere close to the tragic and largely avoidable deaths of innocent civilians in Iraq and Afghanistan.

  29. Frank Costa says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 6:22 pm

    When he was sober, my dad would have some profundities to share like:
    “I cried because I had no shoes till I met a man who had no feet.”
    My therapist agreed that was a pretty tactless thing to tell a six year old who only wanted a baseball glove.

    The one that actually helped me in life was:
    “Figures don’t lie, but liars figure.”

  30. alec says:
    June 28th, 2007 at 8:42 pm

    I understand the IRA targetted Britain for a while, and I would never remove the term terrorism from the majority of their actions. However, you’re missing the point: I’m trying to shed light on the ‘clash of civilizations’ notion that people are hung up on and the perception in the West that they are the greatest (and likeliest) victim, when the opposite is true.

  31. Dracula, Man. » Blog Archive » I don’t know how to say this… says:
    July 2nd, 2007 at 1:30 am

    […] idiotic news stories plaguing the pages and video screens of our free press is appalling. To quote this story: Every 9.62 days, there is an equivalent amount of casualties in Iraq & Afghanistan as […]

  32. Prose Before Hos says:
    July 19th, 2007 at 11:48 am

    What is that something…

    Hrm hrm hrm… this Newsweek Poll is missing something:

    It’s not September 11th…. it’s not Brown people… it’s the USA!

  33. Prose Before Hos says:
    August 22nd, 2007 at 1:09 pm

    Democracies Do Not Always Make Societies More Civil

    Democracies do not always make societies more civil — but they do always mercilessly expose the health of the societies in which they operate.
    Robert Kaplan, The Coming Anarchy

    An Iraqi child hides behind a soldier during a bombing in Baghdad

  34. Bobi says:
    September 15th, 2007 at 8:34 am

    j

  35. Hopkins Johns Medical School says:
    February 17th, 2008 at 8:02 am

    Medical Transcription Schools - Avoiding Online Scams

    Medical transcription is a lucrative profession which allows you the flexibility to work from home. Unfortunately, it’s this appeal that has opened the doors for less than honest online medical transcription schools.

  36. Every 9.74 Days, Iraqi Civilians Experience September 11th | Prose Before Hos says:
    March 4th, 2008 at 9:56 am

    […] Related on PBH: Civilian Death Statistics in Afghanistan and Iraq […]

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